Determinants of ins and outs of unemployment

We estimate the robust determinants of the inflow rate into and outflow rate from unemployment in a sample of OECD countries, using Bayesian model averaging approach to overcome model uncertainty. We find that the main determinant of outflows from unemployment is expenditure on passive labour market policies, while the main determinant of inflows into the unemployment is the duration of benefit entitlement.

This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Applied Economics Letters on 07/08/2019, available online: https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646858.