Export-led growth in the UAE: Causality between non-primary exports and economic growth

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Kalaitzi, A.S., Kherfi, S., Al-Rousan, S. and Katsaiti, M-S. 2021. Export-led growth in the UAE: Causality between non-primary exports and economic growth. London School of Economics and Political Science.
TypeBlog
TitleExport-led growth in the UAE: Causality between non-primary exports and economic growth
AuthorsKalaitzi, A.S., Kherfi, S., Al-Rousan, S. and Katsaiti, M-S.
Abstract

This study examines the ELG hypothesis in the UAE between 1981-2017 by analyzing the causal effects of non-primary exports on economic growth using an augmented neoclassical production function and time series data. Unit root, cointegration, and causality tests reveal that non-primary exports Granger-cause economic growth in the short run, supporting ELG, but not in the long run. Imports, alongside physical and human capital, contribute to long-run economic growth and export diversification. Future research will disaggregate non-primary exports to identify specific categories that may further accelerate economic growth in the UAE.

Sustainable Development Goals9 Industry, innovation and infrastructure
8 Decent work and economic growth
17 Partnerships for the goals
Middlesex University ThemeSustainability
Publication or CollectionLSE Middle East Centre Blog
PublisherLondon School of Economics and Political Science
Publication dates
Online06 Aug 2021
Publication process dates
Deposited13 Jun 2025
Output statusPublished
Web address (URL)https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/mec/2021/08/06/export-led-growth-in-the-uae-causality-between-non-primary-exports-and-economic-growth/
LanguageEnglish
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