Kalaitzi, A.S.; Chamberlain, T.W.

Causality between fuel-mining exports and economic growth: evidence from the UAE

Conference item

Kalaitzi, A.S. and Chamberlain, T.W. 2019. Causality between fuel-mining exports and economic growth: evidence from the UAE. 87th International Atlantic Economic Conference. Athens, Greece 27 - 30 Mar 2019

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Title	Causality between fuel-mining exports and economic growth: evidence from the UAE
Authors	Kalaitzi, A.S. and Chamberlain, T.W.
Abstract	This study examines the causal effects of traditional UAE exports on economic growth from 1981 to 2012, using a neoclassical production function augmented with fuel-mining exports and imports of goods and services. The Johansen cointegration test is applied to assess long-run relationships, and the Granger causality test within a vector error correction model examines short-run causality. A modified Wald test in an augmented vector autoregressive model (Toda and Yamamoto, 1995) is also used to test for long-run causality. The analysis confirms a long-run relationship, with fuel-mining exports having a negative impact on growth. Fuel-mining exports do not cause economic growth in the short-run or long-run.
Sustainable Development Goals	9 Industry, innovation and infrastructure
	8 Decent work and economic growth
	17 Partnerships for the goals
Middlesex University Theme	Sustainability
Conference	87th International Atlantic Economic Conference
Accepted	09 Jan 2019
Completed	30 Mar 2019
Deposited	16 Jun 2025
Output status	Published
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Is documented by	https://iaes.confex.com/iaes/87am/webprogram/Session5915.html

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