Effects of task structure and confirmation bias in alternative hypotheses evaluation
Article
Dhami, M., Belton, I., de Werd, P., Hadzhieva, V. and Wicke, L. 2024. Effects of task structure and confirmation bias in alternative hypotheses evaluation. Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications. 9 (1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-024-00560-y
Type | Article |
---|---|
Title | Effects of task structure and confirmation bias in alternative hypotheses evaluation |
Authors | Dhami, M., Belton, I., de Werd, P., Hadzhieva, V. and Wicke, L. |
Abstract | We empirically examined the effectiveness of how the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) technique structures task information to help reduce confirmation bias (Study 1) and the portrayal of intelligence analysts as suffering from such bias (Study 2). Study 1 (N = 161) showed that individuals presented with hypotheses in rows and evidence items in columns were significantly less likely to demonstrate confirmation bias, whereas those presented with the ACH-style matrix (with hypotheses in columns and evidence items |
Keywords | Hypothesis Evaluation; Confirmation Bias; Intelligence Analysis; Cognitive Reflection; Additivity |
Sustainable Development Goals | 16 Peace, justice and strong institutions |
Middlesex University Theme | Creativity, Culture & Enterprise |
Research Group | Language, Learning and Cognition group |
Publisher | Springer |
Psychonomic Society | |
Journal | Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications |
ISSN | |
Electronic | 2365-7464 |
Publication dates | |
Online | 13 Jun 2024 |
13 Jun 2024 | |
Publication process dates | |
Submitted | 23 Sep 2024 |
Accepted | 08 May 2024 |
Deposited | 20 May 2024 |
Output status | Published |
Publisher's version | License File Access Level Open |
Copyright Statement | This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-024-00560-y |
PubMed ID | 38866984 |
PubMed Central ID | PMC11169332 |
https://repository.mdx.ac.uk/item/1378w8
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